Of every token we've ever archived that actually reached a meaningful all-time-high ($2,000+ market cap), what share crashed 90%+ afterward? This is the base rate you're up against on any given launch.
Not enough weeks of archive history yet for a trend line -- check back as more data accumulates.
looks_rugged() uses elsewhere on this site). "Rugged" means current market cap is under 10% of that peak. This only covers tokens that passed through pump.fun and that we've archived -- not the entire Solana ecosystem.